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 public transit


What if L.A.'s so-called flaws were underappreciated assets rather than liabilities?

Los Angeles Times

In the wake of January's horrific fires, detractors of Los Angeles -- an urban reality often seen as a toxic mixture of unsustainable resource planning and structurally poor governance systems -- are having a field day. Los Angeles knows how to weather a crisis -- or two or three. Angelenos are tapping into that resilience, striving to build a city for everyone. Their criticism is not new: For most of the 20th century -- and certainly for the last five decades or so -- Los Angeles has been seen by many urbanists as less city and more cautionary tale -- a smoggy expanse of subdivisions and spaghetti junctions, where ambition came with a two-hour commute. Planners shuddered, while architects looked away, even as they accepted handsome commissions to build some of L.A.'s -- if not the world's -- most iconic buildings.


Deep Reinforcement Learning for Day-to-day Dynamic Tolling in Tradable Credit Schemes

Wu, Xiaoyi, Seshadri, Ravi, Rodrigues, Filipe, Azevedo, Carlos Lima

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Tradable credit schemes (TCS) are an increasingly studied alternative to congestion pricing, given their revenue neutrality and ability to address issues of equity through the initial credit allocation. Modeling TCS to aid future design and implementation is associated with challenges involving user and market behaviors, demand-supply dynamics, and control mechanisms. In this paper, we focus on the latter and address the day-to-day dynamic tolling problem under TCS, which is formulated as a discrete-time Markov Decision Process and solved using reinforcement learning (RL) algorithms. Our results indicate that RL algorithms achieve travel times and social welfare comparable to the Bayesian optimization benchmark, with generalization across varying capacities and demand levels. We further assess the robustness of RL under different hyperparameters and apply regularization techniques to mitigate action oscillation, which generates practical tolling strategies that are transferable under day-to-day demand and supply variability. Finally, we discuss potential challenges such as scaling to large networks, and show how transfer learning can be leveraged to improve computational efficiency and facilitate the practical deployment of RL-based TCS solutions.


Coordinating Ride-Pooling with Public Transit using Reward-Guided Conservative Q-Learning: An Offline Training and Online Fine-Tuning Reinforcement Learning Framework

Hu, Yulong, Dong, Tingting, Li, Sen

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This paper introduces a novel reinforcement learning (RL) framework, termed Reward-Guided Conservative Q-learning (RG-CQL), to enhance coordination between ride-pooling and public transit within a multimodal transportation network. We model each ride-pooling vehicle as an agent governed by a Markov Decision Process (MDP) and propose an offline training and online fine-tuning RL framework to learn the optimal operational decisions of the multimodal transportation systems, including rider-vehicle matching, selection of drop-off locations for passengers, and vehicle routing decisions, with improved data efficiency. During the offline training phase, we develop a Conservative Double Deep Q Network (CDDQN) as the action executor and a supervised learning-based reward estimator, termed the Guider Network, to extract valuable insights into action-reward relationships from data batches. In the online fine-tuning phase, the Guider Network serves as an exploration guide, aiding CDDQN in effectively and conservatively exploring unknown state-action pairs. The efficacy of our algorithm is demonstrated through a realistic case study using real-world data from Manhattan. We show that integrating ride-pooling with public transit outperforms two benchmark cases solo rides coordinated with transit and ride-pooling without transit coordination by 17% and 22% in the achieved system rewards, respectively. Furthermore, our innovative offline training and online fine-tuning framework offers a remarkable 81.3% improvement in data efficiency compared to traditional online RL methods with adequate exploration budgets, with a 4.3% increase in total rewards and a 5.6% reduction in overestimation errors. Experimental results further demonstrate that RG-CQL effectively addresses the challenges of transitioning from offline to online RL in large-scale ride-pooling systems integrated with transit.


Agent-Based Modelling of Older Adult Needs for Autonomous Mobility-on-Demand: A Case Study in Winnipeg, Canada

Prédhumeau, Manon, Manley, Ed

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

As the populations continue to age across many nations, ensuring accessible and efficient transportation options for older adults has become an increasingly important concern. Autonomous Mobility-on-Demand (AMoD) systems have emerged as a potential solution to address the needs faced by older adults in their daily mobility. However, estimation of older adult mobility needs, and how they vary over space and time, is crucial for effective planning and implementation of such service, and conventional four-step approaches lack the granularity to fully account for these needs. To address this challenge, we propose an agent-based model of older adults mobility demand in Winnipeg, Canada. The model is built for 2022 using primarily open data, and is implemented in the Multi-Agent Transport Simulation (MATSim) toolkit. After calibration to accurately reproduce observed travel behaviors, a new AMoD service is tested in simulation and its potential adoption among Winnipeg older adults is explored. The model can help policy makers to estimate the needs of the elderly populations for door-to-door transportation and can guide the design of AMoD transport systems.


Advancing Transportation Mode Share Analysis with Built Environment: Deep Hybrid Models with Urban Road Network

Zhuang, Dingyi, Wang, Qingyi, Zheng, Yunhan, Guo, Xiaotong, Wang, Shenhao, Koutsopoulos, Haris N, Zhao, Jinhua

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Transportation mode share analysis is important to various real-world transportation tasks as it helps researchers understand the travel behaviors and choices of passengers. A typical example is the prediction of communities' travel mode share by accounting for their sociodemographics like age, income, etc., and travel modes' attributes (e.g. travel cost and time). However, there exist only limited efforts in integrating the structure of the urban built environment, e.g., road networks, into the mode share models to capture the impacts of the built environment. This task usually requires manual feature engineering or prior knowledge of the urban design features. In this study, we propose deep hybrid models (DHM), which directly combine road networks and sociodemographic features as inputs for travel mode share analysis. Using graph embedding (GE) techniques, we enhance travel demand models with a more powerful representation of urban structures. In experiments of mode share prediction in Chicago, results demonstrate that DHM can provide valuable spatial insights into the sociodemographic structure, improving the performance of travel demand models in estimating different mode shares at the city level. Specifically, DHM improves the results by more than 20\% while retaining the interpretation power of the choice models, demonstrating its superiority in interpretability, prediction accuracy, and geographical insights.


Analyzing Transport Policies in Developing Countries with ABM

Salazar-Serna, Kathleen, Cadavid, Lorena, Franco, Carlos

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Deciphering travel behavior and mode choices is a critical aspect of effective urban transportation system management, particularly in developing countries where unique socio-economic and cultural conditions complicate decision-making. Agent-based simulations offer a valuable tool for modeling transportation systems, enabling a nuanced understanding and policy impact evaluation. This work aims to shed light on the effects of transport policies and analyzes travel behavior by simulating agents making mode choices for their daily commutes. Agents gather information from the environment and their social network to assess the optimal transport option based on personal satisfaction criteria. Our findings, stemming from simulating a free-fare policy for public transit in a developing-country city, reveal a significant influence on decision-making, fostering public service use while positively influencing pollution levels, accident rates, and travel speed.


No Transfers Required: Integrating Last Mile with Public Transit Using Opti-Mile

Altaf, Raashid, Biyani, Pravesh

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Public transit is a popular mode of transit due to its affordability, despite the inconveniences due to the necessity of transfers required to reach most areas. For example, in the bus and metro network of New Delhi, only 30% of stops can be directly accessed from any starting point, thus requiring transfers for most commutes. Additionally, last-mile services like rickshaws, tuk-tuks or shuttles are commonly used as feeders to the nearest public transit access points, which further adds to the complexity and inefficiency of a journey. Ultimately, users often face a tradeoff between coverage and transfers to reach their destination, regardless of the mode of transit or the use of last-mile services. To address the problem of limited accessibility and inefficiency due to transfers in public transit systems, we propose ``opti-mile," a novel trip planning approach that combines last-mile services with public transit such that no transfers are required. Opti-mile allows users to customise trip parameters such as maximum walking distance, and acceptable fare range. We analyse the transit network of New Delhi, evaluating the efficiency, feasibility and advantages of opti-mile for optimal multi-modal trips between randomly selected source-destination pairs. We demonstrate that opti-mile trips lead to a 10% reduction in distance travelled for 18% increase in price compared to traditional shortest paths. We also show that opti-mile trips provide better coverage of the city than public transit, without a significant fare increase.


Los Angeles, 2043: An optimistic scenario for transportation

Los Angeles Times

It is a sparkling, sunny August morning in 2043, as your Air China flight from Beijing touches down gracefully (and almost silently) at LAX. The sleek plane is one of a new generation of hydrogen-powered wide-body jets manufactured by Commercial Aircraft Corp. of China -- the kind of innovation that helped the state-owned company sail past Boeing and Airbus in the 2030s to become the world's largest aerospace group. Starting with the Inflation Reduction Act in 2022, the last two decades have seen massive efforts to clean up transportation all around the United States and throughout the world. Back in the early 2020s, transportation accounted for 29% of America's greenhouse gas emissions, but that number has been steadily dwindling to almost zero -- resulting in cleaner cities everywhere. Not only have electric and hydrogen-powered vehicles replaced gas-guzzling cars, but many people have forsaken car-ownership altogether, in favor of much more economic and widely available solutions like e-bikes, robo-taxis and public transit.


A Novel Neural Network Approach for Predicting the Arrival Time of Buses for Smart On-Demand Public Transit

Rashvand, Narges, Hosseini, Sanaz Sadat, Azarbayjani, Mona, Tabkhi, Hamed

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Among the major public transportation systems in cities, bus transit has its problems, including more accuracy and reliability when estimating the bus arrival time for riders. This can lead to delays and decreased ridership, especially in cities where public transportation is heavily relied upon. A common issue is that the arrival times of buses do not match the schedules, resulting in latency for fixed schedules. According to the study in this paper on New York City bus data, there is an average delay of around eight minutes or 491 seconds mismatch between the bus arrivals and the actual scheduled time. This research paper presents a novel AI-based data-driven approach for estimating the arrival times of buses at each transit point (station). Our approach is based on a fully connected neural network and can predict the arrival time collectively across all bus lines in large metropolitan areas. Our neural-net data-driven approach provides a new way to estimate the arrival time of the buses, which can lead to a more efficient and smarter way to bring the bus transit to the general public. Our evaluation of the network bus system with more than 200 bus lines, and 2 million data points, demonstrates less than 40 seconds of estimated error for arrival times. The inference time per each validation set data point is less than 0.006 ms.


Equity Promotion in Public Transportation

Pramanik, Anik, Xu, Pan, Xu, Yifan

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

There are many news articles reporting the obstacles confronting poverty-stricken households in access to public transits. These barriers create a great deal of inconveniences for these impoverished families and more importantly, they contribute a lot of social inequalities. A typical approach addressing the issue is to build more transport infrastructure to offer more opportunities to access the public transits especially for those deprived communities. Examples include adding more bus lines connecting needy residents to railways systems and extending existing bus lines to areas with low socioeconomic status. Recently, a new strategy is proposed, which is to harness the ubiquitous ride-hailing services to connect disadvantaged households with the nearest public transportations. Compared with the former infrastructure-based solution, the ride-hailing-based strategy enjoys a few exclusive benefits such as higher effectiveness and more flexibility. In this paper, we propose an optimization model to study how to integrate the two approaches together for equity-promotion purposes. Specifically, we aim to design a strategy of allocating a given limited budget to different candidate programs such that the overall social equity is maximized, which is defined as the minimum covering ratio among all pre-specified protected groups of households (based on race, income, etc.). We have designed a linear-programming (LP) based rounding algorithm, which proves to achieve an optimal approximation ratio of 1-1/e. Additionally, we test our algorithm against a few baselines on real data assembled by outsourcing multiple public datasets collected in the city of Chicago. Experimental results confirm our theoretical predictions and demonstrate the effectiveness of our LP-based strategy in promoting social equity, especially when the budget is insufficient.